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Waxy.org is the sandbox of Andy Baio, a journalist/programmer living in Portland, Oregon. I'm the CTO of Kickstarter, created Upcoming.org, and some other stuff too.

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Pirating the 2008 Oscars (Now with 6 Years of Data)

Posted Feb 4, 2008

Every year, the Academy tries to stop Oscar films from leaking online. And every year, they leak all the same. I've been tracking Oscar piracy since 2004, but I've decided to up the ante, releasing all the underlying data and extending it to 2003. Six years of Oscar piracy data on all 186 nominated films from 2003 to 2008 -- including US release dates for Academy screeners, cams, telesyncs, R5/telecines, screener leaks and retail DVD rips -- can all be viewed or downloaded below.

See Part 2, with my analysis of the data and some pretty charts.
View: Google Spreadsheets
Download: Excel (with formulas)
Download: CSV

This year, all but six of the 34 nominated films were available in DVD quality by the last week of January. This is about consistent with past years, but we're seeing a shift towards studios releasing DVDs closer to their theatrical date. This trend, combined with the new availability of high-quality Region 5 rips from overseas, is making the screener leak less meaningful. After all, why bother releasing the screener if the retail DVD or a direct-from-film transfer is already out?

Collecting this data took me all day, so I'm going to publish my analysis and pretty charts tomorrow. Update: Here's Part 2, with my analysis and charts.

Sources

  • Yahoo! Movies for USA release dates.
  • Ken Rudolph's wonderful list of official Academy screener dates. Thanks, Ken!
  • VCD Quality and NFOrce for scene releases data. I used NFOogle for meta-searching all the NFO sites.

21 Comments (Add Yours)

Feb 4, 2008
11:25 PM  
Mihir wrote:

Fantastic work! I am surprised that there is no DVD quality leak for There Will Be Blood. I guess there's still time before the show airs.


Feb 4, 2008
11:26 PM  
T. M. Clendenny wrote:

I wish I could recall where I read it, but recently I read about a movie's screener piracy having negligible effect on release day. That in itself isn't surprising, but the director himself admitted as much.


Feb 5, 2008
5:33 AM  
CharlesV wrote:

There's a "DVD Quality" telecine of there will be blood, but it's missing about 5 minutes.

Also the DVD of Michael Clayton came out yesterday, before that it was a VHS quality screener.


Feb 5, 2008
7:23 AM  
Anonymous wrote:

Where's The Savages?


Feb 5, 2008
7:37 AM  
Andy Baio wrote:

CharlesV: I list the date for the There Will Be Blood telecine in there because it hasn't been nuked yet. If they nuke it, I'll remove it.

anonymous: The Savages hasn't leaked yet in any form. Let me know if you find something.


Feb 5, 2008
7:41 AM  
mare wrote:

No DVD screener of "There Will Be Blood" was send to Academy members. They have to go out and see it on the big screen.


Feb 5, 2008
7:45 AM  
Andy Baio wrote:

mare: Not true. Ken Rudolph, an Academy member, received his DVD screener on December 20. This date was in my spreadsheet under "Screener Release."


Feb 5, 2008
10:15 AM  
Anonymous wrote:

i thought it would pertain not so much to the actual dates copies were released but more with, how many people downloaded before it was nominated, after it was nominated, after oscar night if there was a giant increase as a result of a nomination or even a win. whether though hampering the industry bringing more masses to watching good stuff and hopefully that 1 out of 10 people that may never have seen it, watch it, like it so much and then decide to buy it. digital files ain't never going to be as sexy as a rack of dvds!


Feb 8, 2008
11:23 AM  
Joe Clark wrote:

I’ve read a few reports on insider piracy over the years, and I have done nothing but procrastinate writing a post about how caption/subtitle/dubbing/audio-description houses are a prime *potential* source of such materials. If you look around, you’ll find a captioner (hint: its name has the initials NCI) that ostensibly lost contracts because it sent work outside L.A. even after being contractually obligated not to do that. Send something out of house and you lose control over it. If that house sends it to another house, you’ve lost control twice over.


Feb 9, 2008
11:54 AM  
and the svideo cable was invented WHEN wrote:

last i checked its not illegal for me to make a private copy for myself off my pvr.
NOW there also is no law that says i cant take out the commecials too. They are in fact not part of the show and as such your not modifying the show.
NOW gt over your selves. everyone is doing it its only natural id like a better more pro copy instead of having to tape it myself and spend the 3-5 hrs doing this crap.
Whats the diff of say YOU doing it and me getting it epsecially when i can watch ALL KNOWN tv on my sat?
NONE and zero cost to industry , once again, control freaks and greedy jerks.


Feb 14, 2008
2:33 PM  
Killer Film Movie Reviews wrote:

Interesting idea that releasing the DVD sooner gives less incentive to pirate the screener versions. I wonder if this is intentional on the part of studios, or just a case of changing market conditions giving an unexpected benefit.


Feb 21, 2008
1:07 PM  
JET wrote:

The non-sequential American-style dating makes it a real chore to parse the info.


Feb 21, 2008
1:19 PM  
Andy Baio wrote:

Ah, sorry about that. You can change the date format to whatever you like using Excel's Format->Cells formatting options. It only takes a couple seconds.


Feb 23, 2008
5:49 PM  
Anonymous wrote:

Diving Bell is available on French retail DVD with ENG srt files.

There Will Be Blood DVDSCR is available now.


Feb 24, 2008
2:43 AM  
OCD wrote:

Hey just a quick tip, perhaps if you freeze the top few rows (up to and including the row with Title, Oscar, etc.) and freeze the left column, the spreadsheet will be a little easier to work with.


Feb 24, 2008
8:29 AM  
Andy Baio wrote:

It's funny, Google Docs recently added support for freezing rows and columns, but it looks like it only affects editing spreadsheets. The embedded spreadsheets, exported HTML spreadsheets, and Excel exports don't have the frozen cells at all.


Feb 24, 2008
5:21 PM  
OC Disorder wrote:

Oh, that's a shame. They need to get on that. Great worksheet, though. It's definitely very interesting.

Just out of curiosity, do you check Joox.net when looking for leaked DVD screeners? I know that's always a source.


Feb 24, 2008
5:36 PM  
Andy Baio wrote:

No, because the releases eventually end up in one of the NFO databases anyway.


Feb 14, 2009
5:13 AM  
na wrote:

please people
i read a comment from someone that there was no leak from There will be blood dvd quality rip. well i m telling you the dvd rip was uploaded onto the internet about a year ago or even more than that!!!
there is actually no way that a movie will not be on the internet befor the release date. Why ??? because the people who make the movie probably get a bribe and give a copy of the original to someone who copies it and uploads it onto the internet.
so its not the peoples fault who download it and are called thieves but its really the production companies fault who dont take care of thier productions. there would be no pre release piracy if those fat rich asses (who only think about banging young sluts) from eg. 20th century fox would pay some attention to the security of new movies. i think i ve said enough to thi subject


Mar 25, 2009
1:37 PM  
Whoa. wrote:

@Na and @and the svideo cable was invented WHEN

Thank you so much for your insightful, well thought out, and lucid opinions on this subject.

Oh. Wait. No. You're fucking retards.


Aug 27, 2009
2:14 AM  
Prasad Jayasinghe wrote:

Hi This is very nice work. this one very help me to run a reserch about how to promote alchole and tobacco using oscars. Please dont help to promote alchole and tobacco using oscar.
thanks
Prasad from Sri lanka


 

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